METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH FOR CONSTRUCTING AN AGGREGATE FINANCIAL STABILITY INDEX: THE CASE OF MOROCCO
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31000/combis.v7i4.15116Abstract
This study develops an Aggregate Financial Stability Index (AFSI) for Morocco covering 2000–2023, providing a multidimensional assessment of the resilience of the national financial system. The research contributes to the literature by integrating, for the first time in the Moroccan context, the four key dimensions of financial development, vulnerability, soundness, and the global economic climate into a single composite indicator. Using Min–Max normalization and differentiated weighting, the index measures structural stability and quantifies the volatility contributions of each component. The findings reveal a broadly resilient system, supported by strong prudential regulation and sustained financial reforms, yet increasingly exposed to external shocks and macro-financial vulnerabilities. Financial development and vulnerability appear as the main drivers of overall volatility, while the influence of the global economic climate has intensified since 2010. The originality of this research lies in its empirical decomposition of volatility sources and its operational framework for macroprudential monitoring. The AFSI provides policymakers and supervisory authorities with a predictive tool for assessing systemic risk and enhancing financial stability in emerging economies facing global uncertainty.
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