Twitter and Online Trust: Ganjar Pranowo and Anies Baswedan Towards the 2024 Presidential Election

Muhammad Yahya, Syukri Syukri, Ahmad Syarif, Arni Arni, Indah Pratiwi Manggaga, Tawakkal Baharuddin

Abstract


Leading up to the Presidential Election, Anies Baswedan and Ganjar Pranowo have influenced voters’ political attitudes on Twitter and demonstrated strengthening public trust in both, showing trust’s critical role in the democratization process. This research explores the relationship between Twitter use and online trust in the two candidates in the context of preparations for the 2024 presidential election in Indonesia. This research uses a quantitative approach with sentiment analysis on data from Twitter, which focuses on searching for the keywords #aniesbaswedan (17,998 Tweets) and #ganjarpranowo (17,918 Tweets) to understand the opinions, attitudes, and emotions contained in the text. These findings show that there is potential to transform public trust online. If the candidate uses Twitter effectively and succeeds in building online trust, this can provide an advantage for the candidate in their efforts to achieve victory in the 2024 Presidential Election. Ganjar Pranowo is more dominant in influencing the level of public trust in Twitter to be relatively positive, although Ganjar Pranowo also received quite a negative response. Meanwhile, Anies Baswedan needs to be more dominant to influence public trust on Twitter. The dominant factors affecting the level of trust in candidates are the coalition of political parties, Israel’s rejection, and leadership. This study also found the tendency of other factors to transform trust online, including quality content, consistency, transparency, responsiveness, ethics, sharing of references, and honesty. Social media has the potential to foster political confidence online. However, this depends on how the candidate maximizes the potential of social media.

Keywords: Online trust, social media, presidential election, online discussion

ABSTRAK
Menuju Pemilihan Presiden, Anies Baswedan dan Ganjar Pranowo telah memengaruhi sikap politik pemilih di Twitter dan menunjukkan penguatan kepercayaan publik pada keduanya, memperlihatkan peran penting kepercayaan dalam proses demokratisasi. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengeksplorasi hubungan antara penggunaan Twitter dan kepercayaan online terhadap kedua kandidat tersebut dalam konteks persiapan menuju Pilpres 2024 di Indonesia. Penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan analisis sentimen pada data dari Twitter, yang difokuskan pada pencarian kata kunci #aniesbaswedan (17998 Tweets) dan #ganjarpranowo (17918 Tweets), untuk memahami pendapat, sikap, dan emosi yang terkandung dalam teks. Temuan ini menunjukkan adanya potensi dalam mentransformasikan kepercayaan publik secara daring. Jika kandidat menggunakan Twitter secara efektif dan berhasil membangun kepercayaan online, maka hal tersebut dapat memberikan keuntungan bagi kandidat dalam upaya mencapai kemenangan di Pilpres 2024. Ganjar Pranowo lebih dominan memengaruhi tingkat kepercayaan publik di Twitter menjadi relatif positif, meskipun Ganjar Pranowo juga mendapatkan respon cukup negatif. Sementara itu, Anies Baswedan dianggap tidak cukup dominan memengaruhi kepercayaan publik di Twitter. Faktor dominan yang memengaruhi tingkat kepercayaan pada kandidat adalah koalisi partai politik, penolakan Israel, dan kepemimpinan. Studi ini juga menemukan kecenderungan dari faktor lainnya untuk mentransformasikan kepercayaan secara daring di antaranya adalah konten berkualitas, konsistensi, transparansi, responsif, etika, berbagi referensi, dan kejujuran. Media sosial memiliki potensi untuk menumbuhkan kepercayaan politik secara daring. Namun, hal tersebut sangat bergantung pada bagaimana kandidat memaksimalkan potensi media sosial tersebut.

Kata Kunci: Kepercayaan daring, media sosial, pemilihan presiden, diskusi daring


Full Text:

PDF

References


Ahmad, T., Alvi, A., & Ittefaq, M. (2019). The Use of Social Media on Political Participation Among University Students: An Analysis of Survey Results from Rural Pakistan. SAGE Open, 9(3), 1–9. https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244019864484

Alessandro, M., Cardinale Lagomarsino, B., Scartascini, C., Streb, J., & Torrealday, J. (2021). Transparency and trust in government evidence from a survey experiment. World Development, 138, 105223. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2020.105223

Ardèvol-Abreu, A., & Gil De Zúñiga, H. (2017). Effects of Editorial Media Bias Perception and Media Trust on the Use of Traditional, Citizen, and Social Media News. Journalism and Mass Communication Quarterly, 94(3), 703–724. https://doi.org/10.1177/1077699016654684

Baharuddin, T., Jubba, H., Nurmandi, A., & Qodir, Z. (2022). Online Social Trust in Government: Analysis of Government Policy During the Covid-19 Pandemic. Proceedings of the First International Conference on Democracy and Social Transformation, ICON-DEMOST 2021. EAI. https://doi.org/10.4108/eai.15-9-2021.2315575

Baharuddin, T., Qodir, Z., Jubba, H., & Nurmandi, A. (2022). Prediction of Indonesian presidential candidates in 2024 using sentiment analysis and text search on Twitter. International Journal of Communication and Society, 4(2), 204–213. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.31763/ijcs.v4i2.512

Baharuddin, T., Sairin, S., Qodir, Z., & Jubba, H. (2023). Form of Capital in Elections: Candidate Victory over Political Economy Domination. The International Journal of Interdisciplinary Civic and Political Studies, 18(1), 77–96. https://doi.org/10.18848/2327-0071/CGP/v18i01/77-96

Baharuddin, T., Sairin, S., Qodir, Z., Jubba, H., & Nurmandi, A. (2022). Partisipasi dan kepercayaan sosial daring: kebijakan vaksinasi COVID-19 di Indonesia. Jurnal Studi Komunikasi (Indonesian Journal of Communications Studies), 6(1), 277–290. https://doi.org/10.25139/jsk.v6i1.3680

Bargain, O., & Aminjonov, U. (2020). Trust and compliance to public health policies in times of COVID-19. Journal of Public Economics, 192, 104316. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104316

Bene, M. (2017). Go viral on the Facebook! Interactions between candidates and followers on Facebook during the Hungarian general election campaign of 2014. Information, Communication & Society, 20(4), 513–529. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/1369118X.2016.1198411

Bosch, T. (2017). Twitter activism and youth in South Africa: the case of #RhodesMustFall. Information Communication and Society, 20(2), 221–232. https://doi.org/10.1080/1369118X.2016.1162829

Casero-Ripollés, A. (2021). Influencers in the political conversation on twitter: Identifying digital authority with big data. Sustainability (Switzerland), 13(5), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13052851

Ceron, A. (2015). Internet, News, and Political Trust: The Difference Between Social Media and Online Media Outlets. Journal of Computer-Mediated Communication, 20(5), 487–503. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcc4.12129

Chen, H. T., Chan, M., & Lee, F. L. F. (2016). Social media use and democratic engagement: a comparative study of Hong Kong, Taiwan, and China. Chinese Journal of Communication, 9(4), 348–366. https://doi.org/10.1080/17544750.2016.1210182

Clayton, K., Blair, S., Busam, J. A., Forstner, S., Glance, J., Green, G., … Nyhan, B. (2020). Real Solutions for Fake News? Measuring the Effectiveness of General Warnings and Fact-Check Tags in Reducing Belief in False Stories on Social Media. Political Behavior, 42(4), 1073–1095. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11109-019-09533-0

Dekker, R., Engbersen, G., Klaver, J., & Vonk, H. (2018). Smart Refugees: How Syrian Asylum Migrants Use Social Media Information in Migration Decision-Making. Social Media and Society, 4(1), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1177/2056305118764439

Enli, G., & Rosenberg, L. T. (2018). Trust in the Age of Social Media: Populist Politicians Seem More Authentic. Social Media + Society, 4(1), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1177/2056305118764430

Ewing, M., Men, L. R., & O’Neil, J. (2019). Using Social Media to Engage Employees: Insights from Internal Communication Managers. International Journal of Strategic Communication, 13(2), 110–132. https://doi.org/10.1080/1553118X.2019.1575830

Grover, P., Kar, A. K., Dwivedi, Y. K., & Janssen, M. (2019). Polarization and acculturation in US Election 2016 outcomes – Can twitter analytics predict changes in voting preferences. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 145, 438–460. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2018.09.009

Halpern, D., Valenzuela, S., & Katz, J. E. (2017). We Face, I Tweet: How Different Social Media Influence Political Participation through Collective and Internal Efficacy. Journal of Computer-Mediated Communication, 22(6), 320–336. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcc4.12198

Hampton, K. N., Shin, I., & Lu, W. (2017). Social media and political discussion: when online presence silences offline conversation. Information Communication and Society, 20(7), 1090–1107. https://doi.org/10.1080/1369118X.2016.1218526

Helberger, N. (2020). The Political Power of Platforms: How Current Attempts to Regulate Misinformation Amplify Opinion Power. Digital Journalism, 8(6), 842–854. https://doi.org/10.1080/21670811.2020.1773888

Howard, P. N., Woolley, S., & Calo, R. (2018). Algorithms, bots, and political communication in the US 2016 election: The challenge of automated political communication for election law and administration. Journal of Information Technology and Politics, 15(2), 81–93. https://doi.org/10.1080/19331681.2018.1448735

Huber, B., Barnidge, M., Gil de Zúñiga, H., & Liu, J. (2019). Fostering public trust in science: The role of social media. Public Understanding of Science, 28(7), 759–777. https://doi.org/10.1177/0963662519869097

Jaidka, K., Ahmed, S., Skoric, M., & Hilbert, M. (2019). Predicting elections from social media: a three-country, three-method comparative study. Asian Journal of Communication, 29(3), 252–273. https://doi.org/10.1080/01292986.2018.1453849

Janssen, M., Rana, N. P., Slade, E. L., & Dwivedi, Y. K. (2018). Trustworthiness of digital government services: deriving a comprehensive theory through interpretive structural modelling. Public Management Review, 20(5), 647–671. https://doi.org/10.1080/14719037.2017.1305689

Jawa pos. (2021, October 8). Kepercayaan Publik terhadap Anies dan Ganjar Menguat. Riaupos.Jawapos.Com. Retrieved from https://riaupos.jawapos.com/olahraga/08/10/2021/259410/kepercayaan-publik-terhadap-anies-dan-ganjar-menguat.html

John, S. (2021). The Potential of Democratization in Ethiopia: The Welkait Question as a Litmus Test. Journal of Asian and African Studies, 56(5), 1007–1023. https://doi.org/10.1177/00219096211007657

Jong, W., Dückers, M. L. A., & van der Velden, P. G. (2016). Leadership of Mayors and Governors during Crises: A Systematic Review on Tasks and Effectiveness. Journal of Contingencies and Crisis Management, 24(1), 46–58. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-5973.12091

Jubba, H., Baharuddin, T., Qodir, Z., & Iribaram, S. (2023). Sentiment Analysis: Predicting the Position of Islamic Political Parties in Indonesia in the Next Election. Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, 694 LNNS, 1027–1034. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-3091-3_84

Jumaynah, F. (2023). The Nationalist-Religious Political Image in the Construction of the News of Ganjar Pranowo’s Appointment as a Presidential Candidate. Kalijaga Journal of Communication, 5(1), 24–40. https://doi.org/10.14421/kjc.51.02.2023

Kahne, J., & Bowyer, B. (2018). The Political Significance of Social Media Activity and Social Networks. Political Communication, 35(3), 470–493. https://doi.org/10.1080/10584609.2018.1426662

Kalichman, S. C., Hernandez, D., Kegler, C., Cherry, C., Kalichman, M. O., & Grebler, T. (2018). Dimensions of Poverty and Health Outcomes among People Living with HIV Infection: Limited Resources and Competing Needs. Physiology & Behavior, 176(5), 139–148. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10900-014-9988-6.Dimensions

Kerr, N., & Lührmann, A. (2017). Public trust in manipulated elections: The role of election administration and media freedom. In Electoral Studies (Vol. 50). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2017.08.003

Kim, Y., & Peterson, R. A. (2017). A Meta-analysis of Online Trust Relationships in E-commerce. Journal of Interactive Marketing, 38, 44–54. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intmar.2017.01.001

Klein, E., & Robison, J. (2020). Like, Post, and Distrust? How Social Media Use Affects Trust in Government. Political Communication, 37(1), 46–64. https://doi.org/10.1080/10584609.2019.1661891

Koivula, A., Malinen, S., & Saarinen, A. (2021). The voice of distrust? The relationship between political trust, online political participation and voting. Journal of Trust Research, 11(1), 59–74. https://doi.org/10.1080/21515581.2022.2026781

Kruse, L. M., Norris, D. R., & Flinchum, J. R. (2018). Social media as a public sphere? Politics on social media. Sociological Quarterly, 59(1), 62–84. https://doi.org/10.1080/00380253.2017.1383143

Kurniawati, F., Pawito, & Hastjarjo, S. (2022). Representation of Political Actor’s Identity in Social Media (Analysis on Instagram accounts of Anies Baswedan, Ridwan Kamil and Ganjar Pranowo). International Journal of Multiculturaland Multireligious Understanding, 9(2), 669–678. Retrieved from http://ijmmu.comhttp//dx.doi.org/10.18415/ijmmu.v9i2.3460

Laakso, S., Niva, M., Eranti, V., & Aapio, F. (2022). Reconfiguring everyday eating: Vegan Challenge discussions in social media. Food, Culture and Society, 25(2), 268–289. https://doi.org/10.1080/15528014.2021.1882796

Larson, H. J., Clarke, R. M., Jarrett, C., Eckersberger, E., Levine, Z., Schulz, W. S., & Paterson, P. (2018). Measuring trust in vaccination: A systematic review. Human Vaccines and Immunotherapeutics, 14(7), 1599–1609. https://doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2018.1459252

Luth, Maswati, R., & Baharuddin, T. (2023). Online political trust in Anies Baswedan as a candidate for the President of Indonesia 2024. In Environmental Issues and Social Inclusion in a Sustainable Era (pp. 317–322). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.1201/9781003360483-36

Mansoor, M. (2021). Citizens’ trust in government as a function of good governance and government agency’s provision of quality information on social media during COVID-19. Government Information Quarterly, 38(4), 101597. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.giq.2021.101597

McGregor, S. C., Lawrence, R. G., & Cardona, A. (2017). Personalization, gender, and social media: gubernatorial candidates’ social media strategies. Information Communication and Society, 20(2), 264–283. https://doi.org/10.1080/1369118X.2016.1167228

Meel, P., & Vishwakarma, D. K. (2020). Fake news, rumor, information pollution in social media and web: A contemporary survey of state-of-the-arts, challenges and opportunities. Expert Systems with Applications, 153, 112986. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2019.112986

Muttaqien, M. (2013). Domestic Politics and Indonesia’s Foreign Policy on the Arab-Israeli Conflict. Global & Strategis, 7(1), 57–72. Retrieved from http://journal.unair.ac.id/JGS@domestic-politics-and-indonesia’s-foreign-policy-on-the-arab-israeli-conflict—article-6302-media-23-category-8.html

Nanath, K., & Joy, G. (2023). Leveraging Twitter data to analyze the virality of Covid-19 tweets: a text mining approach. Behaviour and Information Technology, 42(2), 196–214. https://doi.org/10.1080/0144929X.2021.1941259

Nugraha, R. M., & Bhwana, P. G. (2023, March 30). Public Vent on Ganjar Pranowo’s Social Media Over U-20 World Cup Fiasco. Tempo.Co. Retrieved from https://en.tempo.co/read/1708886/public-vent-on-ganjar-pranowos-social-media-over-u-20-world-cup-fiasco#google_vignette

Oschatz, C., Stier, S., & Maier, J. (2022). Twitter in the News: An Analysis of Embedded Tweets in Political News Coverage. Digital Journalism, 10(9), 1526–1545. https://doi.org/10.1080/21670811.2021.1912624

Painter, D. L. (2015). Online political public relations and trust: Source and interactivity effects in the 2012 U.S. presidential campaign. Public Relations Review, 41(5), 801–808. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pubrev.2015.06.012

Reischauer, G., & Ringel, L. (2023). Unmanaged Transparency in a Digital Society: Swiss army knife or double-edged sword? Organization Studies, 44(1), 77–104. https://doi.org/10.1177/01708406221106329

Rendi Ziar Zhafira, T., Nurmandi, A., Kurniawan, D., Muallidin, I., & Loilatu, M. J. (2022). Analysis the Success of Government Twitter Use in Increasing Vaccine Participation (Case Study of Surabaya City Government, Indonesia). Communications in Computer and Information Science, 1582, 401–410. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-06391-6_51

Rodríguez-Pose, A., & Hardy, D. (2015). Addressing poverty and inequality in the rural economy from a global perspective. Applied Geography, 61, 11–23. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2015.02.005

Salahudin, Nurmandi, A., Jubba, H., Qodir, Z., Jainuri, & Paryanto. (2020). Islamic Political Polarisation on Social Media During the 2019 Presidential Election in Indonesia. Asian Affairs, 51(3), 656–671. https://doi.org/10.1080/03068374.2020.1812929

Santa, R., MacDonald, J. B., & Ferrer, M. (2019). The role of trust in e-Government effectiveness, operational effectiveness and user satisfaction: Lessons from Saudi Arabia in e-G2B. Government Information Quarterly, 36(1), 39–50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.giq.2018.10.007

Sijabat, R. (2020). Analysis of e-government services: A study of the adoption of electronic tax filing in Indonesia. Jurnal Ilmu Sosial Dan Ilmu Politik, 23(3), 179–197. https://doi.org/10.22146/jsp.52770

Su, Y., & Xiao, X. (2022). Interacting effects of political social media use, political discussion and political trust on civic engagement: Extending the differential gains model. International Communication Gazette, 84(3), 206–226. https://doi.org/10.1177/1748048521993118

Subekti, D., Nurmandi, A., & Mutiarin, D. (2022). Mapping Publication Trend of Political Parties Campaign in Social Media: A Bibliometric Analysis. Journal of Political Marketing, 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1080/15377857.2022.2104424

Swart, J. (2023). Tactics of news literacy/ : How young people access , evaluate , and engage with news on social media. New Media & Society, 25(3), 505 –521. https://doi.org/10.1177/14614448211011447

The Jakarta Post. (2023, May). Analysis: Searching for running mates for Prabowo, Ganjar and Anies. Thejakartapost.Com. Retrieved from https://www.thejakartapost.com/opinion/2023/05/22/analysis-searching-for-running-mates-for-prabowo-ganjar-and-anies.html

Umayah, D., & Rahmawati, D. E. (2022). Journal of Governance and Public Policy Communication Style of Regional Head in Handling Covid 19 Through Twitter Social Media, 2020-2021. Journal of Governance and Public Policy, 9(3), 255–269. Retrieved from https://doi.org/10.18196/jgpp.v9i3.15923

van Esch, P., & Black, J. S. (2019). Factors that influence new generation candidates to engage with and complete digital, AI-enabled recruiting. Business Horizons, 62(6), 729–739. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bushor.2019.07.004

Waisbord, S., & Amado, A. (2017). Populist communication by digital means: presidential Twitter in Latin America. Information Communication and Society, 20(9), 1330–1346. https://doi.org/10.1080/1369118X.2017.1328521

Walsh, J. P. (2020). Social media and border security: Twitter use by migration policing agencies. Policing and Society, 30(10), 1138–1156. https://doi.org/10.1080/10439463.2019.1666846

Weismueller, J., Harrigan, P., Coussement, K., & Tessitore, T. (2022). What makes people share political content on social media? The role of emotion, authority and ideology. Computers in Human Behavior, 129, 107150. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chb.2021.107150

Welzel, C. (2021). Democratic Horizons: what value change reveals about the future of democracy. Democratization, 28(5), 992–1016. https://doi.org/10.1080/13510347.2021.1883001

Xenos, M., Vromen, A., & Loader, B. D. (2014). The great equalizer? Patterns of social media use and youth political engagement in three advanced democracies. Information Communication and Society, 17(2), 151–167. https://doi.org/10.1080/1369118X.2013.871318

Yahia, I. Ben, Al-Neama, N., & Kerbache, L. (2018). Investigating the drivers for social commerce in social media platforms: Importance of trust, social support and the platform perceived usage. Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, 41, 11–19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jretconser.2017.10.021

Yang, H. “Chris,” & DeHart, J. L. (2016). Social Media Use and Online Political Participation Among College Students During the US Election 2012. Social Media and Society, 2(1), 1–18. https://doi.org/10.1177/2056305115623802

You, Y., & Wang, Z. (2020). The Internet, political trust, and regime types: A cross-national and multilevel analysis. Japanese Journal of Political Science, 21(2), 68–89. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1468109919000203




DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.31000/nyimak.v8i1.8730

Article Metrics

Abstract - 131 PDF - 60

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.

 

Nyimak : Journal of Communication

Communication Science Study Program, Faculty of Social and Political Sciences, Universitas Muhammadiyah Tangerang.

Jl.Mayjen Sutoyo No.2 Kota Tangerang, West Java. Provinsi Banten 15111 Indonesia.

nyimak_journal@umt.ac.id

journalnyimak@gmail.com

Nyimak: Journal of Communication already indexed by:

google   One_search   dimention   Garuda base    crossref   Scilit1 index-copernicus 

Nyimak: Journal of Communication is licensed under a  Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License

View My Stats